Saturday, January 30, 2010

NCAA Hoops: 1/30

No writeups...

Texas/Baylor OVER 151 1/2
West Virginia -6 1/2 Louisville
Kentucky -8 1/2 Vanderbilt
Kansas State +4 1/2 Kansas
Marquette +5 1/2 Connecticut

Sunday, January 24, 2010

NFL: Conference Championship Sunday

Indianapolis / NY Jets UNDER 40 1/2 - The Jets led the NFL in total defense, passing defense, and rushing offense though the regular season. On the flip side, their offense is extremely one-dimensional, so points will be hard to come by on both sides today. The UNDER has paid 5 of the last 7 in games in Indy (with one of the losses coming against these Jets in a game the Colts didn't try in).

NY Jets +8 1/2 Indianapolis - Too many points. As the aforementioned stats indicate, the Jets have a great defense and an excellent running game that they'll commit to to try to shorten the game. The Colts have been sensational against the number in games where they've tried, covering 6 straight and 11 of the last 14. Those numbers, and the general public appeal of Peyton, have led this number to inflate (it should be under 7).

New Orleans -3 1/2 Minnesota - Brett Favre, Brett Favre, Brett Favre.

Tuesday, January 19, 2010

NCAA Hoops: 1/19

Miami -6 1/2 Boston College - Miami returns home (where they are unbeaten) after back-to-back road losses in hopes of avenging an earlier season loss to BC. The Eagles are 10-8 but have lost 4 of their last 5 and haven't beaten a non-NAIA team since December, and they're 1-6 ATS in their last 7 posted games. Miami had covered 6 in a row before their current 2 game slide.

Wichita State -3 Northern Iowa - Unranked home favorite hosting a ranked visitor...traditionally a very high percentage play. The Shockers are coming off a tough one point loss on the road against Creighton, but they're perfect at home and will have a good crowd for a big game tonight. The home team has won and covered 3 of the last 4 in the series.

Alabama +3 Tennessee - The Vols have handled the the loss of players well to this point, but they haven't been in a road spot like this, yet. Alabama isn't a great team, but they're pretty good and are a bit undervalued here...as a result of a pretty tough schedule beating their record up.

Saturday, January 16, 2010

What I Learned Today Watching Sports

The Saints can score, man...and old QBs are fragile in INT coverage.

The SEC protects its basketball crown jewel with officiating as badly as it does in football.

K-State is for real. This was an easy look-ahead spot for them with Texas coming up, and they gutted out a good road win.

Damion James still can't guard legit 4s...fortunately for him, there aren't that many.

A flawed team is going to be hoisting the trophy in Indy in April.

NFL: Divisional Playoffs

Has there ever been a divisional round with less possibility for weather?

New Orleans - 6 1/2 Arizona
- Arizona's defense was awful at home last week. Now they go on the road to what will be the most hostile environment of the weekend. Saints roll.

Dallas +3 Minnesota - IT'S BRETT FAVRE TIME!!!!!! Fast Cowboys defense should keep Peterson relatively in check. The gunslinger will have to shine.

NY Jets +7 San Diego - The Chargers were 31st in the regular season in rushing offense, relying exclusive on the arm of Philip Rivers. The Jets led the NFL in passing and total defense AND lead the league in rushing on offense. Southern California won't exactly present cold, playoff weather...but old adages are old adages for a reason.