Sunday, January 24, 2010

NFL: Conference Championship Sunday

Indianapolis / NY Jets UNDER 40 1/2 - The Jets led the NFL in total defense, passing defense, and rushing offense though the regular season. On the flip side, their offense is extremely one-dimensional, so points will be hard to come by on both sides today. The UNDER has paid 5 of the last 7 in games in Indy (with one of the losses coming against these Jets in a game the Colts didn't try in).

NY Jets +8 1/2 Indianapolis - Too many points. As the aforementioned stats indicate, the Jets have a great defense and an excellent running game that they'll commit to to try to shorten the game. The Colts have been sensational against the number in games where they've tried, covering 6 straight and 11 of the last 14. Those numbers, and the general public appeal of Peyton, have led this number to inflate (it should be under 7).

New Orleans -3 1/2 Minnesota - Brett Favre, Brett Favre, Brett Favre.

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