Sunday, November 28, 2010

NFL: Week 12

Atlanta -1 1/2 Green Bay - The Packers enter on what seems like an unsustainable hot streak, but that 4 game winning streak (both SU and ATS) has come against 3 crappy teams and an overrated Jets squad that I can't wait to bet against in the playoffs. Atlanta rides their own 4 game winning steak into this game, but they've done it against two 7 win teams and on the road against a suddenly resurgent Rams squad.

San Diego +3 Indianapolis - The underachieving Chargers have finally gotten it going and have new life in the AFC West race. The Colts are battling injuries more than perhaps any team in football. The underdog is 5-1 SU, 6-0 ATS in the last 6 in this series and San Diego is 6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 trips to Indy.

Jacksonville / NY Giants OVER 44 - Since the Jags have gotten more of their offensive pieces healthy, they've been a pretty good offensive team. The Giants enter on back-to-back disappointing losses within their division. J'ville has played 4 straight games that have gone over, while the Giants have gone over in 4 of their last 5.

Jacksonville +7 NY Giants - Too many points. The Jags losses have come to San Diego, Philly, Tennessee, and Kansas City. They've played a brutal schedule, largely without their QB, and have somehow emerged from that 6-4. They've covered 3 straight and 5 of their last 7.

San Francisco -1 Arizona - Arizona is terrible, San Fran is less terrible. The road team has covered 8 of the last 9 in this series, and the 49ers still have a chance to win the NFC West...if you can believe that.

Leans:
Seattle +2 1/2
St Louis +3 1/2
Philadelphia -3

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