NFL: Week 1

Jacksonville -3 Tennessee - Best number on the board. The Jags qualify in my NFL strategy of always laying 3 points or less with the obviously better team. When a team is obviously better and just a field goal favorite, they're usually on the road and this game is no exception. Not to worry, the Jags were 6-2 against the number away from home last year, with 1 of those ATS losses being in week 17 while they were resting starters for the playoffs. More reasons to feel good, the Titans were just 3-5 against the number at home last year and have failed to cover their last 3 as an underdog. The Jags have covered 6 straight as a favorite.

NY Jets -3 Miami - Both of these teams were pretty terrible last year. In the offseason, the Jets added Brett Favre (maybe you heard about it...ESPN was pretty quiet on the matter) and Miami added Ricky Williams and a dime bag. The Jets have owned this series lately, as they are 8-0-1 ATS in the last 9 and they've covered 9 of the last 10 in Miami.

Detroit -3 Atlanta - Yeah, so I'm taking my 3rd road favorite. It's like a 12 year old girl is writing this blog and picking based on how pretty the uniforms are. But hey, it's week 1...weird stuff gets everybody. Detroit was a pretty up and down team last year, but they were relatively reliable as a favorite...covering 3 out of 4. The Falcons were pretty predictable as a home dog last year, putting up just a 2-5 mark against the number in that situation. Oh, yeah...and the Lions are better.