Sunday, March 22, 2009

NCAA Tournament: More Round 2

Kansas / Dayton UNDER 133 - Two teams that are much better defensively than they are offensively. Collins and Aldrich won't have as easy of a time getting to the basket as they did in the first game. Dayton's point guard is a playmaker that you can play off of (worse shooter than Dogus Balbay), so I'd expect whoever's guarding him to sag off and congest the lane...low scoring affair.

Michigan State -4 Southern Cal - The Trojans have played well over the last couple weeks, but wins over UCLA and Boston College aren't looking as good with the tournament performance of the Bruins (squeaker over VCU before getting run out of the gym against Villanova) and the ACC. This is a game that should be pretty close for most of it but ultimately Michigan State is quite a bit better team and should pull away in the 2nd half.

Wisconsin +3 1/2 Xavier - Mid major teams, even from conferences as good as the A10, tend to struggle with slow, plodding, phyiscal teams like Wisconsin. The Badgers did a nice job against Florida State in the first round, and are probably due to shoot it a little better than the 40% they put up in that game. Xavier has been a team that you can keep from scoring with tough defense, and Wisconsin will have some success at that today.

Leans:

Cleveland State +2 1/2
Missouri -3

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