NCAA: Week 7

Texas A&M -3 1/2 Missouri - A&M did a solid job against the spread in Stillwater but couldn't avoid stepping on their own d*cks in giving that game away. They'll have an easier time in College Station. Mizzou has smacked around a weak schedule and hasn't been on the road, yet...so they come in a bit inflated here. The Tigers have only covered 4 of their last 14 Big 12 games, while the Aggies are 5-2-2 in their last 9 at home.

Arkansas +3 1/2 Auburn - The Hogs feel like the better team here to me. Auburn has one quality win and has skated by a couple mediocre teams by a field goal. Arkansas' one loss was an hard to stomach crater job against Alabama, but they shook that off last week with a workmanlike win over the A&M. They should play well today. The underdog has won 4 straight outright in the series (Arkansas is 3 of those), and Arky has covered 7 of their last 9 overall.

Michigan State -7 Illinois - Hidden in the fact that the Illini rolled in Happy Valley last week is that they really hadn't shown much in the way of being a good team leading into that. Michigan State is good, and continues to prove it, though I am at least a little bit weary of a rivalry hangover hear after Sparty took down Michigan. I'm going to say they're well-coached enough to come in focused and beat a team they should beat here. MSU is on a 10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS run against Illinois.

Baylor -1 1/2 Colorado - Better team, road tested already, coming off a tough loss...I like the Bears here. Their offense is legit, and will be able to score against an okay Colorado defense, but when Colorado can't run the ball...their offense grinds to a halt. While not exactly elite, Baylor gives up under 4 yards per carry on the ground to at least be better than average at it.

Leans:

Iowa -3

Texas +10

Alabama -20 1/2