NFL: Week 7

Chicago -3 Washington - The Redskins roll into the windy city last in the NFL in total defense and, while the situation isn't quite as bad when you normalize for tempo, they're #29 defensively in yards/play. While the 'skins have covered 3 straight in Chicago, the Bears have beaten the number in 3 of their last 4 home games.

San Diego -2 1/2 New England - So, the Chargers are an interesting case..they lead the NFL in both total offense AND total defense, yet they're just 2-4. They have been really good in their two home games, moving their record to 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 in SoCal. The Chargers also seems to "get up" for shootout games, they've covered 10 of their last 11 against offensive teams that rank 5.7 or better in YPP (exactly what NE is at).

Buffalo +14 Baltimore - The Ravens offense is really not very good, and they're defense has actually slightly overperformed their numbers...they really shouldn't be laying 14 to anybody, even the worst team in football. The Bills have had two weeks to prepare, while Baltimore played a big game last week, and Fitzpatrick was playing kinda, sorta OK before the BYE. The line went down most places, even in the face of lots of Baltimore action.

Tennessee -2 1/2 Philadelphia - The Eagles will miss DeSean Jackson more than might be expected here. The Titans can stop the run but are prone to getting beat in the passing game, and Kolb having to rely so much on Maclin as his #1 could be a problem. The Eagles have also built their record up against a crappy schedule and are getting a little too much credit here. The Titans have covered 17 of their last 22 as a home favorite of a field goal or less.

Leans:

Seattle -7

San Fran -3

Cincy +3 1/2

Cleveland +13