NCAA: Week 9

Air Force +7 Utah - The Utes have covered several in a row, and Air Force hasn't covered in awhile which all leads to this line having some value. Utah is currently ranked 6th nationally against the run, but they've built that ranking against crappy run offenses (#52, #99, #111, #117, #63, #118, and #103). Utah is also in the tough position of going on the road against a funky offense you don't see much with TCU looming in a huge game next weekend with all sorts of BCS implications. If you're into trends, the underdog is 7-6 SU and 12-1 ATS in the last 13 in this series.

K-State +4 1/2 Oklahoma State - The Wildcats were an intriguing possibility here, even before OSU had to suspend their best receiver for a DUI (coming home from Monday Night Football in the middle of the night after sitting in Dez Bryant's seats...but hey, we're not here to uncover NCAA violations). K-State's defense has been pretty good when they're not facing a running QB, and pretty bad when they are, but the Cowboys don't really present that dimension. And for how good OSU looked running it against Nebraska last week, K-State actually has the better run offense and they're at home. K-State's numbers against the run are terrible, but they're kinda the opposite of Utah, the run offenses they've played have included #6, #22, #26, #30...all better than Okie State. K-State has won and covered 5 straight against OSU in Manhattan.

Iowa State -18 1/2 Kansas - If KU is going to suck, I might as well make some money on it. Iowa State has covered 7 of the last 8 at home in this series, and half that marks some pretty heady times for Jayhawk Football. TBD on how the Cyclones will handle last week's big win...they went to A&M and got blasted after springing the upset in Lincoln last year.

Iowa -6 1/2 Michigan State - Sparty has had a magical run, but there's a reason the computers don't like them (Sagarin's predictors has them just 25th, for example). And they're in a really tough spot on the road against a pissed off team today. Iowa has owned this series against the number (covering 7 of the last 8), and the Hawkeyes have been OUTSTANDING the last few years after SU losses, going 9-3-1 against the number in "bounce back" spots.

Hawaii -15 Idaho - Hawaii is always tough at home, they're finally putting the pieces together under the new coaching staff, they're back to leading the universe in passing, and they've been great against the number this year (6-1 so far). The favorite (usually Hawaii but not last year) has covered 6 straight in this series.

Clemson -7 Boston College - The BC Eagles are the ACC's version of Kansas until proven otherwise, but Clemson has actually looked awfully good at times this year. They were a monumental Auburn comeback away from winning that game, they played North Carolina tough in their last road game. If this team is as good as they've shown flashes of, this is a game they go get. Disclaimer: The underdog has won 4 of the last 5 in this series, though Clemson has won and covered 2 straight.

Leans:

Missouri +7 1/2 Nebraska

Northwestern -3 1/2 Indiana

Miami (OH) - 2 1/2 Buffalo

Texas Tech +7 1/2 Texas A&M