Sunday, October 11, 2009

NFL: Week 5

Lots of big favorites this week, making for a bunch of games to stay away from...

Dallas -7 Kansas City - The Cowboys aren't as good as they were supposed to be, but the Chiefs are living up to their billing. Romo in a bounce-back spot after two bad weeks in a row, and gets to play a defense that plays hard but doesn't generate much pass rush (ranking just 26th in the league in sacks). Also, the Chiefs should be bet against every week until we know Vegas has valued them properly.

New England -3 Denver - The Broncos are the worst 4-0 team in NFL history and eventually the horseshoe has to fall out of their ass. You'd have to call Cincy their best win, on a fluky tipped miracle, and their offense has shown a lot of weakness, only topping 17 points twice and against two of the worst five teams in football. The Patriots have covered 6 of their last 9 as a FG favorite or less. Denver has covered 2 of their last 9 at home.

Washinton +4 1/2 Carolina - The Panthers coming off the early BYE week, but they're a team in disarray right now. The Redskins haven't played well in any game, yet...but have scratched out a 2-2 record, so far. With Jake Delhomme playing terrible, I'm not sure Carolina can find a balanced enough attack to be good offensively. The Skins are 3-1-1 in their last 5 as a road dog.

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