Cleveland / Houston OVER 50 - The #22 team in the NFL in total defense battles the #26 team. Weather forecast is for clear weather and not much wind, so the offenses should be able to put up some points. The OVER has paid 3 straight for both of these teams.
New England -1 1/2 Miami - New England was pounded by the Fish in Foxboro in week 3, but with motivation from that embarrassment, Cassel having more experience, and film available of Miami's version of the Wildcat...they should be in much better shape today. This game is a borderline must-win for the Pats. They're currently tied with Miami and a game back of the Jets in the AFC East with Pittsburgh coming to town next week.
San Francisco +10 Dallas - Dallas isn't really a team that blows people out, winning only two games by double digits this season. San Francisco usually does a pretty good job of hanging around and keeping games close, and I don't think the Dallas offense is quite firing on all cylinders. The Cowboys have their playoff hopes hanging in the balance pretty much every week these days, and they'll find a way to win, but this feels like a close game.
Tennessee -5 1/2 NY Jets - I've been betting against the Titans for 3 weeks now, because I think they're a little overvalued. They're in a pretty good spot today, though. The Jets are riding high after their big win over the Pats last week, and Brett Favre hasn't gone colorblind and thrown a couple to the wrong jerseys in a couple of weeks. You figure he's due for some of that against this Titans defense.
Leans (if I'm 2-2 or better in the early games, I'll play these):
Denver -8 1/2
Seattle +3 1/2
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