Sunday, November 2, 2008

NFL: Week 9

Minnesota -4 1/2 Houston - The Baltimore game that was canceled has given the Texans a quirky schedule so far. They played their first 3 games away from home, their next 4 at home, and they go back on the road today to play a Minnesota team that is in need of a win, as they're a game back of both the Bears and Packers in the NFC North. The Vikings are 5-1 SU and ATS coming off the BYE and 2-0 in those 6 when they're at home. The Texans are 21st in the NFL against the run and will have a tough time stopping the Adrian Peterson and the Vikes attack today, so they'll probably need this to become a shootout. They won't have quite enough bullets.

Green Bay +4 1/2 Tennessee - The Titans could be the worst 7-0 team in the history of the NFL. That's not to say they're bad, because it's a good team, but their schedule has set up just perfectly. Out of three road games, two have come against Cincinnati and Kansas City...teams with a combined 1 win. The Titans haven't had 200 passing yards in any game this year, and they'll find the sledding particularly tough today against the Packers and their #6 ranked passing defense. Tennessee can muddy this game up, try to control the football, and make it a low scoring slugfest to move to 8-0...but they odds are slim that they can run away and win by a bunch of points. So, getting more than 4 is great in this spot.

Buffalo -5 NY Jets - The Bills try to bounce back from a loss last week to Miami as they return home to face a Jets team that has really not been very good away from home, standing at 1-2 SU and ATS to date. Buffalo has gotten the better of this series lately, covering 5 of the last 7 overall and 3 of the last 4 at home. They've also been tough at home in general, covering 12 of their last 16 at the host. The Bills need this one, as they're just a game ahead of the Jets and are tied with New England for the division lead.

Leans:

Atlanta / Oakland OVER 41 1/2
Indianapolis -6 1/2
Cleveland -2

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