NFL: Week 15

Miami -6 San Francisco - Miami is in the thick of the 3-way tie for first in the AFC East and with San Francisco in town and a trip to Kansas City coming next week, they have to like their chances. San Francisco makes the long trip east to play an early game (always tough for west coast teams), and they'll be doing it without Frank Gore, who's out with an ankle sprain. Tough spot for them, so I expect the Dolphins to win comfortably today.

NFL: Week 14

Green Bay -6 Houston - The Texans recent good play has this line held a little lower than it probably should be. Underachieving Packer team hosts Houston, with Matt Schaub seeing his first action in over a month. If Green Bay expects to make the playoffs, they need to get going right now...and today is the first time all year they've played a 2nd consecutive home game. I'd expect them to play well.

New England -6 1/2 Seattle - Rarely does a Bill Belichick team get embarassed like they did last week. It's even more rare for them not to respond and play well the following week. The squeezably soft Seahawks are just what the doctor ordered in this spot. The Patriots are 4-0 SU and ATS following a loss this season.

Denver -9 Kansas City - The Chiefs are playing better, but this is a Broncos team that, until last Sunday, was the Chiefs only win. A motivated team, in Mile High, with the Chiefs' inability to stop the, well...anything on defense means Denver gets to give a revenge f**k today.

Conference Title Saturday

Florida -10 Alabama - The Crimson Tide are getting no respect here for a multitude of reasons. The biggest deal, though...is that the SEC has a lot of good teams but not very many great ones. Alabama has managed to navigate through the conference without losing, but they've seldom looked great. The computers tell a big story here, of Sagarin's top 50, the only teams that played a significantly easier schedule than the Tide were Boise State, Ball State, and Tulsa. Nowhere to hide today, as they battle a motivated Florida team that needs to not only win...but do it convincingly enough to pass Texas in the BCS. Gators roll.

Oklahoma / Missouri UNDER 79 - Explosive offenses, poor pass defenses. Missouri is #116 nationally against the pass AND they didn't have to play Tech or Oklahoma during the regular season. So, why take the UNDER...it'll be cold, the field is in terrible shape, and in championship type games...79 is a ton of points.

Virginia Tech PK Boston College - Virginia Tech has a little more experience at the skill positions and should play well today to try to snag the ACC's prized spot getting annually humiliated in the Orange Bowl. Should be a good one.