NFL: Week 12

Atlanta -1 1/2 Green Bay - The Packers enter on what seems like an unsustainable hot streak, but that 4 game winning streak (both SU and ATS) has come against 3 crappy teams and an overrated Jets squad that I can't wait to bet against in the playoffs. Atlanta rides their own 4 game winning steak into this game, but they've done it against two 7 win teams and on the road against a suddenly resurgent Rams squad.

San Diego +3 Indianapolis - The underachieving Chargers have finally gotten it going and have new life in the AFC West race. The Colts are battling injuries more than perhaps any team in football. The underdog is 5-1 SU, 6-0 ATS in the last 6 in this series and San Diego is 6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 trips to Indy.

Jacksonville / NY Giants OVER 44 - Since the Jags have gotten more of their offensive pieces healthy, they've been a pretty good offensive team. The Giants enter on back-to-back disappointing losses within their division. J'ville has played 4 straight games that have gone over, while the Giants have gone over in 4 of their last 5.

Jacksonville +7 NY Giants - Too many points. The Jags losses have come to San Diego, Philly, Tennessee, and Kansas City. They've played a brutal schedule, largely without their QB, and have somehow emerged from that 6-4. They've covered 3 straight and 5 of their last 7.

San Francisco -1 Arizona - Arizona is terrible, San Fran is less terrible. The road team has covered 8 of the last 9 in this series, and the 49ers still have a chance to win the NFC West...if you can believe that.

Leans:

Seattle +2 1/2

St Louis +3 1/2

Philadelphia -3

NCAA: Week 12

Michigan State -1 1/2 Penn St - Sparty is playing for a share of the Big Ten title today, though it would be a pretty discouraging tie...since they'd likely be left out of the BCS bowl picture entirely with Ohio State and Wisconsin both heavy favorites today. They have the tie-breaker over Wisconsin, which means their fans will actually rooting for Michigan. Penn State isn't very good, MSU is coming off a shaky performance and should play well. If you need some numbers, this Spartan senior class is 10-5-1 ATS in road games.

Stanford -13 1/2 Oregon State - Good news, bad news trend here. Stanford is 12-4 against the number in the last 3 years at home, but they're just 4-9 SU, 3-10 ATS in their last 13 against Oregon State. This is the best of those Stanford teams, one of the best in the history of the school, and they're still playing for a BCS bowl...though that bowl isn't likely to be the Rose at this point.

Missouri -24 1/2 Kansas - When one team has the opportunity to crush the other in this series, they generally don't pass on it. In any sport. This game represents the biggest mismatch in recent memory, and Mizzou will take great pride in making this game get ugly. We learn today just how much Turner Gill understands about this rivalry.

More Plays:

Oklahoma +3 - OU owns this conference until proven otherwise and has been in a game this big before

Ole Miss +3 - Miss St is a road favorite now?

Iowa -15 - Bounce back spot from a tough loss to tOSU against a terrible Minnesota team

Leans:

BYU +9

USC -4

Ohio State/Michigan OVER 64

NFL: Week 10

No writeups

Plays:

Cleveland +3 NY Jets

Pittsburgh -4 1/2 New England

Tennessee -1 Miami

Minnesota -1 Chicago

Leans:

Seattle +3

Indy -7

NFL: Week 9

Cleveland +4 New England - Cleveland has quietly been a pretty decent team, but nobody has really noticed because the close losses to Tampa and Kansas City early in the season looked bad at the time. They come off a BYE here after a great win at New Orleans, and Colt McCoy today finally gets to face a crappy pass defense. The Browns have covered 5 of their last 7 at home, and they're 8-3-1 in their last last dozen as an underdog.

Atlanta -8 1/2 Tampa Bay - It's a good thing the Buccaneers exist, because it keeps the heat off my Chiefs as the crappiest team that's overachieved to 5-2. The flipside is those two losses were both ass-kickings against the only two good teams that they've played, and both of those were at home. This is the first time they've ventured on the road to play a team that's even decent. Today the pit their #30 run defense against the league's 5th best rushing offense.

Buffalo +3 Chicago - The Bills continue to play decently as the desperation for their first win sets in. After back-to-back overtime losses on the road, they return "home" (to Toronto) for their best chance at getting the win column off zero. After the Bears hot 3-0 start, they've won and covered just 1 of their last 4.

NY Giants -7 Seattle - When the Giants have the ball, Eli Manning and that high-powered offense will enjoy the 4th worst pass defense in the NFL. When the Seahawks have the ball, Charlie Whitehurst will play against a fierce front 7. Really tough spot for the Seattle here, even though the line has held fairly well in reverence to how tough it is to play there.

San Diego -3 Houston - The Chargers are still better than their record, while the Texans have only covered twice this year...so I'll back the Bolts for the 3rd week in a row. San Diego has won and covered 3 straight in the series.

Baltimore -5 Miami - Hunch play...feels like the Dolphins are getting a little too much love for being unbeaten on the road so far. Baltimore is getting healthy pieces back on defense, so they're probably a little better than they've shown so far, even though they've been fine W/L-wise.

NCAA: Week 10

No writeups. Lots of road favorites today. Not sure how I feel about that....

Missouri -4 1/2 Texas Tech

Alabama -6 1/2 LSU

Iowa State +17 Nebraska

Oklahoma -3 Texas A&M

Michigan State -24 Minnesota