NFL: Week 16

A couple road favorites....

Patriots -8 Buffalo
Ravens -3 1/2 Cleveland

NFL: Week 15

Dallas -7 Washington - I liked the Cowboys here early in the week and that was before old man Shanahan decided he has to show everybody how smart he is by starting Rex Grossman. Dallas comes in having covered 5 straight, while the Skins have only covered 1 of their last 6.

Detroit +4 1/2 Tampa Bay - This Bucs team was/is an overachieving bunch, but at this point, they're decimated by injuries. Maybe they figure out a way to win this game, but it'll be a battle. I'll take he points. This Lions team doesn't win much, but they're a Vegas delight...going 9-4 against the number to date.

NY Giants -3 Philadelphia - Huge game for control of the NFC East. The Giants have a defensive line that's uniquely suited to handling Michael Vick, and in the game in Philly...they did control him on the running side. The Giants were doomed in that game by 5 turnovers from their offense. Their running attack in working nicely these days with the one-two punch of Bradshaw and Jacobs, so their ball control will be better today. Full disclosure, the Eagles have covered 5 straight in this series.

Leans:
Atlanta -6
NY Jets +4 1/2
New Orleans +2

NFL: Week 13

NY Giants -7 Washington - Giants are 7-1 SU and ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Baltimore -3 Pittsburgh - I think Baltimore is better and don't trust a banged up Big Ben.

Denver +9 Kansas City - Too many points. Road team has covered 3 of the last 4.

Arizona +3 1/2 St Louis - Rams first time being on the road in back to back weeks on the season and they're probably getting a little too much love. Cards have covered 5 of the last 6.

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NCAA: Championship Saturday

Oklahoma -4 1/2 Nebraska - The swan song for the Cornhuskers in the Big 12 before taking their ball and running to the Big Ten. Interesting that NU can spend 60 years pounding the Big 8, and all that can be unraveled by a dozen years of having Texas and Oklahoma punk you. If it's not too much trouble, I hope the Big 12 sends their worst crew to JerryWorld, and Oklahoma has something like a 18-4 advantage in penalties. This rivalry hasn't been of the "throw the records out" sort, as the favorite is 8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS over the last 10. Oklahoma is playing in their 8th Big 12 title game, and they're 6-1 in the previous 7. The south champ has been a solid play in this game historically, going 10-4 SU, 9-4-1 ATS since the formation of the conference.

Oregon State +16 1/2 Oregon and South Carolina +5 1/2 Auburn - These games where a team can win and they're in the BCS title game historically lead the favorite to play pretty tight (see: Longhorns, Texas 2009). At least that's how it seems to me, I don't really have much data to back that up...just a feeling.

Louisiana Tech +8 Nevada - The Wolfpack hit the road after what I presume to be the biggest win their football program's history...it'll be pretty hard to get up for that. By itself, that's not so convincing, but the home team has dominated this series recently, going 4-2 SU and 5-1 against the number in the last 6. Bit of a steam play, too...public pretty solidly behind Nevada and this number had nosedived.

Leans:

South Florida -2

Cincinnati -2

SMU +9