Sunday, October 12, 2008

NFL: Week 6

New Orleans -7 Oakland - The Saints lost a heartbreaker on Monday night and have the short week to prepare for a bad Raiders team at home. What's attractive about this game, though...is that New Orleans is a decent football team, and them being in last place in their division right now makes this a bit of a must-win. Desperation is usually good to put your money behind. Oakland is breaking in a new interim head coach, though they should be quitting on the season any minute now. New Orleans is 2-1 at home SU and ATS and has covered 5 of the last 6 against the Raiders. Oakland is 0-5 ATS since 2003 coming off their BYE week.

NY Jets -9 1/2 Cincinnati - The Bengals aren't a great football team even when healthy and showing up at Brett Favre's house without Carson Palmer available puts them in an even more vulnerable position. On top of that, the Jets are rested off their BYE week, which is a position they've played very well in (covering each of their last 6). The Bengals are 31st in total offense and just won't be able to match the scoring of the Jets in this one.

Green Bay +1 Seattle - Green Bay dropped a game they shouldn't have last week and rolls into Seattle as an underdog against a Seahawks team that isn't very good. While they are typically tough at home, this is a game that the Packers have to have. Lost in the hoopla of Favre's departure is that Aaron Rodgers has played pretty well. The Pack are 8th in passing offense, while Rodgers in 6th is passing yards individually, and he's tossed 9 TDs against 4 INTs. Pretty solid play. They'll have options offensively as the Seahawks don't stop either the run (24th) or the pass (25th) very well.

Leans:

Houston -3 (The Dolphins are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 as an underdog of 4 or less)
Carolina +1 1/2 (Nothing particular...just a feeling)
Washington -13 (The Rams closest game has been an 15 point ATS loss)

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