Friday, October 2, 2009

NCAA Football: Week 5

Limited plays for tonight. I'll be watching line movements to add another play or two from my leans or otherwise. Pretty light week in college but likely a heavy week in the NFL. Good Luck.

Iowa State -2 1/2 Kansas State - The Cyclones are 3-1 against the number, while K-State really hasn't shown much fight against their FBS opponents. Iowa State has covered 4 of the last 5 in this series, pretty much coinciding with the Wildcats not being good any more, and that trend continues to be true.

Arkansas -1 Texas A&M - This number should be at least 4 or 5. The Aggies roll in as a team that wasn't very good last year and hasn't been tested at all, yet. The Razorbacks played a shootout and lost with Georgia and were railroaded by Alabama, who looks like something resembling the best team in the country so far. Great bounce-back spot for Arkansas against a team that isn't as good as Vegas perceives them so far.

Florida Atlantic -3 1/2 Wyoming - Still a little too much love in the world based on one half disinterested football by Texas. FAU hasn't covered, yet but it's mostly based on difficulty of schedule and a little bad luck. Wyoming is also 0-3 against the number, but it's basically forgotten by them being competitive with the Horns for one half. This number should be 6+...valuable play here.

Leans:

Auburn +2
Arkansas State +22
Michigan State -3 1/2
Navy -3
Washington +12
Central Michigan -8

No comments: