Sunday, November 2, 2008

NFL: Week 9 Continued

Cleveland -2 Baltimore - Suspicious line here. The Browns were whipped in week 3, but they're getting healthy, gaining some confidence, and are playing much better lately. They host a Baltimore team that is pretty typical, poor offense and good defense. The Ravens have struggled on the road lately, covering only 2 of their last 11. Meanwhile, Cleveland's rabid fanbase gives them a nice home field advantage, as they've covered 9 time in their last 10 tries as the host. They've been equally successful against Baltimore, covering the number in the last 4 matchups in Cleveland and 5 of the last 6 overall.

Atlanta / Oakland OVER 41 1/2 - While the offenses in this game aren't necessarily great, sometimes an over looks good because the defenses are just bad. Such is the case in the Black Hole today, where the #25 and #26 ranked total defenses square off. Atlanta has given up at least 20 points in 6 of their 7 games (holding only Kansas City below that mark), while Oakland has held two opponents under 20 but actually gives up a higher average yielding 25.3 per game.

Indianapolis -6 1/2 New England - The Colts have to have this game. And hidden underneath the Patriots run at an undefeated season last year is the fact that Indy has owned this series lately. Since the memorable playoff game in '05, the Colts have covered 4 straight including two outright road wins...and all of that included a Patriots team that was less old on defense and had Tom Brady at the helm. Bob Sanders returns today to help in run support and complement what is already the #2 passing defense in the league. Matt Cassel will have his hands full when the Pats have the ball.

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